Probability Topic Quiz 3

CAMBRIDGE IGCSE MATHS (0580)

Paper 2 (P2): Probability Topic Quiz 3

Question 1:
In all parts of this question give your answer as a fraction in its lowest terms.

(a)
(i) The probability that it will rain today is 13.
What is the probability that it will not rain today?
Answer(a)(i) ............................................... [1]

(ii) If it rains today, the probability that it will rain tomorrow is 25.
If it does not rain today, the probability that it will rain tomorrow is 16.
Complete the tree diagram.
Board Diagram Example
[2]

(b) Find the probability that it will rain on at least one of these two days.
Answer(b) ............................................... [3]

(c) Find the probability that it will rain on only one of these two days.
Answer(c) ............................................... [3]
Question 2:
In this question, give all your answers as fractions.
When Ivan goes to school in winter, the probability that he wears a hat is 58.
If he wears a hat, the probability that he wears a scarf is 23.
If he does not wear a hat, the probability that he wears a scarf is 16.

(a) Complete the tree diagram.
Board Diagram Example
[3]

(b) Find the probability that Ivan
(i) does not wear a hat and does not wear a scarf,
Answer(b)(i) ............................................... [2]

(ii) wears a hat but does not wear a scarf,
Answer(b)(ii) ............................................... [2]

(iii) wears a hat or a scarf but not both.
Answer(b)(iii) ............................................... [2]

(c) If Ivan wears a hat and a scarf, the probability that he wears gloves is 710.
Calculate the probability that Ivan does not wear all three of hat, scarf and gloves.
Answer(c) ............................................... [3]
Question 3:
In a box, there are 7 red cards and 3 blue cards.
A card is drawn at random from the box and is not replaced.
A second card is then drawn at random from the box.

(a) Complete this tree diagram.
Board Diagram Example
[3]

(b) Work out the probability that the two cards are of different colours.
Give your answer as a fraction.
Answer(b) ............................................... [3]
Question 4:
If the weather is fine, the probability that Carlos is late arriving at school is 110.
If the weather is not fine, the probability that he is late arriving at school is 13.
The probability that the weather is fine on any day is 34.

(a) Complete the tree diagram to show this information.
Board Diagram Example
[3]

(b) In a school term of 60 days, find the number of days the weather is expected to be fine.
Answer(b) ................................................ [1]

(c) Find the probability that the weather is fine and Carlos is late arriving at school.
Answer(c) ................................................ [2]

(d) Find the probability that Carlos is not late arriving at school.
Answer(d) ................................................ [3]

(e) Find the probability that the weather is not fine on at least one day in a school week of 5 days.
Answer(e) ................................................ [2]
Question 5:
Each morning the probability that it rains is 23.
If it rains, the probability that Asha walks to school is 17.
If it does not rain, the probability that Asha walks to school is 47.

(a) Complete the tree diagram.
Board Diagram Example
[2]

(b) Find the probability that it rains and Asha walks to school.
Answer(b) ................................................... [2]

(c) (i) Find the probability that Asha does not walk to school.
Answer(c)(i) ................................................... [3]

(ii) Find the expected number of days Asha does not walk to school in a term of 70 days.
Answer(c)(ii) ................................................... [2]

(d) Find the probability that it rains on exactly one morning in a school week of 5 days.
Answer(d) ................................................... [2]
Question 6:
The probability that it will rain tomorrow is 58.
If it rains, the probability that Rafael walks to school is 16.
If it does not rain, the probability that Rafael walks to school is 710.

(a) Complete the tree diagram.
Board Diagram Example
[3]

(b) Calculate the probability that it will rain tomorrow and Rafael walks to school.
Answer(b) ................................................ [2]

(c) Calculate the probability that Rafael does not walk to school.
Answer(c) ................................................ [3]
Question 7:
The probability that Chaminda uses the internet on any day is 35.
The probability that Niluka uses the internet on any day is 34.

(i) Complete the tree diagram.
Board Diagram Example
[2]

(ii) Calculate the probability that, on any day, at least one of the two students uses the internet.
Answer(b)(ii) ............................................... [3]

(iii) Calculate the probability that Chaminda uses the internet on three consecutive days.
Answer(b)(iii) ............................................... [2]
Question 8:
Yeung and Ariven compete in a triathlon race.
The probability that Yeung finishes this race is 35.
The probability that Ariven finishes this race is 23.

(a) (i) Which of them is more likely to finish this race? Give a reason for your answer.
Answer(a)(i) ...................................................... because ..........................................................
..................................................................................................................................................... [1]

(a) (ii) Find the probability that they both finish this race.
Answer(a)(ii) ................................................ [2]

(a) (iii) Find the probability that only one of them finishes this race.
Answer(a)(iii) ................................................ [3]

(b) After the first race, Yeung competes in two further triathlon races.
(i) Complete the tree diagram.
Board Diagram Example
[3]

(b) (ii) Calculate the probability that Yeung finishes all three of his races.
Answer(b)(ii) ................................................ [2]

(b) (iii) Calculate the probability that Yeung finishes at least one of his races.
Answer(b)(iii) ................................................ [3]
Question 9:
A train stops at station A and then at station B.
If the train is late at station A, the probability that it is late at station B is 0.9.
If the train is not late at station A, the probability that it is late at station B is 0.2.
The probability that the train is late at station A is 0.3.

(a) Complete the tree diagram.
Board Diagram Example
[2]

(b) (i) Find the probability that the train is late at one or both of the stations.
Answer(b)(i) ................................................ [3]

(b) (ii) This train makes 250 journeys. Find the number of journeys that the train is expected to be late at one or both of the stations.
Answer(b)(ii) ................................................ [1]

(c) The train continues to station C. The probability that it is late at all 3 stations is 0.27.
Describe briefly what this probability shows.
..............................................................................................................................................................
.............................................................................................................................................................. [1]
Question 10:
The probability that a plant will produce flowers is \( \frac{7}{8} \).
The flowers are either red or yellow.
If the plant produces flowers, the probability that the flowers are red is \( \frac{3}{4} \).

(a) (i) Complete the tree diagram by writing a probability beside each branch.
Board Diagram Example
[2]

(a) (ii) Calculate the probability that a plant, chosen at random, will produce red flowers.
Answer(a)(ii): ................................................ [2]

(a) (iii) Two plants are chosen at random. Calculate the probability that both will produce red flowers.
Answer(a)(iii): ................................................ [2]

(b) Alphonse buys 200 of these plants. Calculate the number of plants that are expected to produce flowers.
Answer(b): ................................................ [2]

(c) Gabriel has 1575 plants with red flowers. Estimate the total number of plants that Gabriel has.
Answer(c): ................................................ [2]